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January 22, 2009

Evaluation as an essential public function

With just over one week left in my sabbatical, I am racing through as much reading as I can, and have been riveted by December's American Journal of Evaluation. It starts, as each volume does, with the guiding principles for evaluators. These six principles guide our work and the work of all evaluators. Several of the subsequent articles explore how the final guiding principle is dependent on each of the others.

The final guiding principle is Responsibility for General and Public Welfare. In her role running the Program Evaluation and Methodology Division of the Government Accountability office for fourteen years, Eleanor Chelimsky had the opportunity to reflect on clashes between evaluation and politics, and how evaluation must serve the public in the face of those clashes. The clashes she identifies might be ones that our readers would expect:

* Agencies, in the face of an evaluation imposed externally with the potential to put them at risk, withhold information, dispute methods and findings, or endeavor to suppress results
* Leaders request evaluations that answer questions designed to show a specific slant (her example is of receiving a list of 19 questions related to bovine growth hormones, which included the methods to use, people to talk to, and suggested answers to those questions)
* When an evaluation is concluded, the results are either uninteresting, too technical, or go against prevailing public opinion, and are never used to help improve programs or develop public policies

Chelimisky presents five suggestions to address these clashes. Several of these suggestions are incorporated into our work (or we've learned some hard lessons when we've failed to do these things) and I thought I'd share some of our own examples.

Suggestion 1: Expand the design phase to probe the values, stakeholders, methodological strengths and weaknesses, and potential credibility. We found that when we give our clients, and several of the people who will be interested in the study, the opportunity to help us explore these issues, we come away with a stronger evaluation design and greater buy-in from all of those involved.

Suggestion 2: Include public groups in the evaluation. When evaluations rely exclusively on available data and interviews with staff or experts, the data is unbalanced and potentially biased. What we emphasize in our evaluation design is first- hand knowledge of the questions we are asking; if the question involves experiences, knowledge, attitudes or beliefs of participants, than it is crucial that participants are the ones to give us answers.

Suggestion 3: Lean heavily on negotiation to encourage all stakeholders to participate in the evaluation. Chelimisky encountered adversarial situations in which agencies withheld information. Although we rarely encounter the hostility she describes, we do meet people who are reluctant or fearful. Rather than negotiation, we more frequently use education - helping people understand how they can use the results and how findings will be shared. However, we do try to help stakeholders feel that there is something "in it for me" - that they will have their own questions answered, access to data, or an opportunity to respond to results.

Suggestion 4: Never stop thinking about credibility - evaluation must be technically competent and objective. Credibility is gained by matching methods to the evaluation questions, honesty in reporting both results and the confidence that readers can have in results, and by abstaining from advocacy of one issue or another.

Suggestion 5: Develop a dissemination strategy. This is one area where, at the Improve Group, we continue to learn. In one of our very first evaluations, of the statewide charter school system, the mixed results were never released to the public. The guiding principles hadn't been developed yet, and with relative inexperience we didn't feel comfortable engaging the evaluation's sponsors in a discussion about the public benefit of the results. With more experience, we are better prepared to refer to the guiding principles and help our clients feel comfortable and empowered sharing findings, even when results are mixed. Unlike evaluators at a public agency, however, we are usually contractually unable to release results, and rely on our clients (with assistance) to disseminate findings.

Do you have thoughts about the role of evaluation in fulfilling a public purpose? I'd love to hear them!

December 17, 2008

Scenarios: how the public and nonprofit sectors could benefit from this business approach

By Leah

Greetings from my sabbatical! From Dec. 15-January 31, I am catching up on the mountain of "that looks interesting" reading that has been piling up on my desk for... years. My goal is to learn new approaches in planning, evaluation and research that our clients can benefit from.

Today I have been reading up on business strategies and reflecting on how these business strategies could be applied in the nonprofit and public sector. One article focused on scenarios as an alternative to forecasting. Because forecasts use previous trends to try to make predictions, they are very bad at accounting for major shifts or changes in the broader environment (which I'm sure anyone - including me - who has bought a house in the last four years can attest to...)

Scenarios use a number of factors in the current reality, and then think about what would happen if those factors were taken to greater or lesser extreme. For example, in our current reality, tax revenues, endowments and contributions are all down significantly. In the next several months, the declines may level off and we might see economic recovery as people look for buying opportunities, or the declines might continue worsening. A nonprofit or a public agency would then think about how to best position itself given those various scenarios. Does the nonprofit need to be prepared to take drastic measures? Does a public agency need to maintain as many programs as possible, potentially with some delayed spending?

Even before I started reading the article, I was listening to today's MPR Midmorning on Nonprofit Survival - and got to have the final comment of the hour! Essentially, the guests were trying to analyze where the "scenarios" were headed in the coming months. My comment was that I have observed nonprofits becoming increasingly savvy about evaluation over the last nine years, and feel they are better positioned in this downturn than in the past because they have valid, reliable and meaningful data with which to make decisions.

One of the benefits of sabbatical - not having to leave my house on this frigid day! Stay warm out there (you can ignore that part, California, South Carolina, Texas, Georgia and Florida friends!)

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